Israeli bookmaker Winner has put its numbers on Sunday evening's third round of the Toto Cup group stage, and the market leaves little doubt about who it expects to come out on top in both fixtures.

Hapoel Jerusalem are priced at 2.15 to beat Maccabi Petach Tikva, with the draw offered at 2.95 and a Petach Tikva win paying 2.70, according to the odds published by ONE. It is a tight enough spread to suggest bookmakers see a competitive match rather than a mismatch, even with Jerusalem the nominal favourites.

The gap is far wider in the evening's other fixture. Maccabi Netanya are rated a heavy 1.45 to see off Hapoel Ramat Gan at home, with the draw at 3.70 and an away win priced all the way out at 4.65 — among the more lopsided prices of the round so far.

The odds reflect where the four clubs currently sit in Israeli football's pecking order. Both Maccabi Petach Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan arrive in Ligat Ha'al as this season's promoted sides, having finished first and second respectively in the 2025-26 Liga Leumit, with Petach Tikva crowned champions of the second tier.

That promotion has made them the divisions's new boys for the Toto Cup's group phase, a pre-season tournament in which clubs are drawn into regional pools before the top finishers advance to a knockout quarter-final stage. Facing established top-flight opposition so early in the competition, both sides go into round three as clear underdogs in the betting.

For Hapoel Jerusalem and Maccabi Netanya, the matches offer a chance to build momentum before the Ligat Ha'al season proper gets under way, with home advantage and greater top-flight experience both factored into Winner's pricing.

Neither game carries direct promotion or relegation stakes on the night, but a strong start in the Toto Cup group table matters for seeding and for early-season confidence heading into the quarter-finals.